Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.018735 0.020100 0.021515 0.023095 0.024809 0.026615 0.028664
2026-02-08 0.016218 0.018152 0.020258 0.022726 0.025548 0.028680 0.032430
2026-02-15 0.014639 0.016901 0.019455 0.022560 0.026251 0.030514 0.035838
2026-02-22 0.013417 0.015879 0.018738 0.022322 0.026717 0.031964 0.038749
2026-03-01 0.012474 0.015077 0.018175 0.022157 0.027178 0.033346 0.041569
2026-03-08 0.011684 0.014385 0.017669 0.021987 0.027565 0.034596 0.044234
2026-03-15 0.011109 0.013909 0.017380 0.022041 0.028200 0.036151 0.047337
2026-03-22 0.010545 0.013405 0.017013 0.021950 0.028612 0.037402 0.050071
2026-03-29 0.010064 0.012975 0.016708 0.021908 0.029061 0.038697 0.052907
2026-04-05 0.009606 0.012546 0.016375 0.021796 0.029390 0.039821 0.055538
2026-04-12 0.009242 0.012221 0.016158 0.021821 0.029893 0.041193 0.058579
2026-04-19 0.008947 0.011972 0.016025 0.021947 0.030531 0.042771 0.061995
2026-04-26 0.008531 0.011550 0.015653 0.021737 0.030709 0.043738 0.064632
2026-05-03 0.008097 0.011086 0.015200 0.021390 0.030667 0.044380 0.066816
2026-05-10 0.007757 0.010737 0.014892 0.021234 0.030893 0.045423 0.069680
2026-05-17 0.007423 0.010380 0.014554 0.021012 0.030996 0.046272 0.072266
2026-05-24 0.007133 0.010074 0.014275 0.020858 0.031190 0.047258 0.075123
2026-05-31 0.006862 0.009783 0.014002 0.020699 0.031359 0.048204 0.077956
2026-06-07 0.006665 0.009594 0.013872 0.020750 0.031857 0.049696 0.081805
2026-06-14 0.006446 0.009360 0.013664 0.020665 0.032128 0.050821 0.085073
2026-06-21 0.006251 0.009156 0.013491 0.020626 0.032465 0.052066 0.088622
2026-06-28 0.006051 0.008937 0.013285 0.020521 0.032684 0.053114 0.091872
2026-07-05 0.005893 0.008775 0.013162 0.020544 0.033115 0.054543 0.095908